Que Es Fold Equity En Poker, poker excel spreadsheet, torneios de poker em jundiai, new bath casino. Essentially, fold equity is the extra amount of equity you gain when you factor in how likely your opponent is to fold. Working out the correct amount of fold equity relies heavily on your ability to read an opponent. In other words, you need to be fairly certain of your chances to get an opponent to fold. The formula to work it out is as follows.

Fold Equity Explained

If you have a 50% chance to win the hand, but betting will cause your opponent to fold 20% of the time, your overall poker equity increases:

No bet: 50% equity

Bet: 50% + (0.2 * 50%) = 60% equity

The size of the bet and the odds your opponent will fold will determine if this increase in equity is profitable in the long run.

Fold equity can become important in short stack situations in a no-limit holdem tournament. A basic example of fold equity is when a player pushes with a draw and allows himself to win one of two ways:

• He can hit his hand
• He can force the other player(s) to fold

In words the fold equity formula would read:

Our win odds + (percentage of times villain x his win odds)

Fold Equity Examples

Example 1

We hold {Ac) K♣ on a Q♠3♦9♥ flop on Americas Cardroom. For this example let’s assume we know villain is holding exactly 2♥2♠. We also know that this villain is going to fold the flop 67% of the time.

We have 28.2% win odds, the villain folds 67% of the time, and his win odds are 71.7%

28.2 + .67 (71.7) = 76.2% of winning

As you can see by betting we have almost tripled our odds of winning.

Example 2

Another way we can look at fold equity is how much is in the pot and our odds of winning by using a fold equity calculator. There are many fold equity calculators online, but most require four pieces of information:

• The effective stack size
• Our estimated equity
• Pot size
• How big of a bet are we making

For example, we are playing in a .25/.50 no limit game on PaddyPower. We raise in the cutoff with A♦6♦ to $1.20. A tight player on the button 3-bets to $3.20, we call $2.

The flop comes 2♦6♠9♦ with $7 in the pot.

We check and the button bets $4.60, making the pot $11.60.

Our information looks like this:

• Effective stack size: $21.70
• Estimated Equity: 43% (if the tight 3-bettor has AA)
• Pot Size: $11.60
• Our all-in bet size: $17.10

Plugging those numbers into the calculator we must believe the 3-bettor will fold more than 32% of the time for this to be +EV.

Fold Equity Chart

The chart below shows how much of a fold percentage you must have for having neutral EV.

A higher percentage than what is shown would be +EV, lower would be –EV.

Understanding Fold Equity Calculations

If we run the above hand 3 times, we can see why he needs to fold more than 32%.

When he will folds we win the pot of $11.60, of which we invested $3.20. This gives us a positive return of +$8.40.

Two times he will call making the pot $50.40, which we will win 43% of the time. We invested $24.90 and have $21.67 of equity, mean we lose $3.23 each time he calls.

How much will we win or lose based on how often he calls?

Villain Folds 50% of the time -- 1 fold (+$8.40): 1 call (-$3.23) = +$5.17

Villain Folds 33% of the time -- 1 fold (+$8.40): 2 calls (-$6.46) = +$1.94

Que Es Fold Equity En Poker Table

Villain Folds 25% of the time -- 1 fold (+$8.40): 3 calls (-$9.69) = -$1.09

Equity calculations are paramount without player reads on Bovada's anonymous tables.

Fold equity is somewhat of an advanced poker concept, and while the logic is straightforward, the math can be tricky. The concept of fold equity is base on the truism that if nobody calls your bet, you will win 100% of the time. Stated in another way, you have 100% equity in all pots in which you bet and nobody calls. Of course you cannot know in advance if your opponents will all fold to you. When you make a bet, sometimes your opponents will all fold and sometimes they will not. When calculating fold equity, you must make an educated guess about the probability that each will occur. For this reason, a fold equity calculation is a type of implied odds calculation, and can be either positive or negative.
Here is how you construct a fold equity calculation mathematically. For simplicity’s sake, we will consider your bet as an all in gambit, although in real life this will not always be the case.

Que Es Fold Equity En Poker Winnings

Consider Pf as the probability that all opponents will fold if you bet, Es as your showdown equity, Pw as the probability you will win at showdown, and Pl as the probability you will lose at showdown, such that Fold Equity = (Pf * Pot amount before your wager) + Es. And Es = [(Pw *Pot amount after your wager) +( Pl * Pot amount after your wager)] (1-Pf)

Que Es Fold Equity In Poker Lingo

What this means is that the percentage of time that all opponents fold multiplied by the amount of the pot prior to your bet can be considered as your equity, but you also have to include in the equation what occurs when you are called. When you are called, some percentage of the time you will win, and some percentage of the time you will lose. When you win, you will win the amount in the pot after betting and being called. Likewise, when you lose, you will lose the same amount. Multiply each by the probability of each occurring. Then add these two products together. This sum can be a negative or positive amount, depending upon whether or not you have the best starting hand. Even if you have the worst hand, and Es is negative, and it often will be, fold equity can still be positive, because you still have to add the equity you receive when you steal the pot successfully.

Que Es Fold Equity In Poker Winnings

Fold equity is an important concept to master for effective bluffing in both live and tournament play. It is most frequently applied to the stealing of blinds in the later stages of tournaments, where it is absolutely crucial for success. In tournament play, a missed opportunity to steal the blinds can be fatal. Understanding when you have fold equity is absolutely critical. A key aspect to this is making a good prediction about the value of Pf, the probability that all opponents will fold. Remember, you are estimating this, and you will have to consider many things if you are to come up with an accurate estimate. Things to consider when predicting how often your opponents call include, how loose or tight they are, your table image, the size of your bet, the size of your stack and your opponents’ relative to each other as well as to the size of the blinds, and many other factors.
See more explanations on Implied Odds, Pot Odds, and Equity

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